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Showing posts with the label futures
Trump 2.0 playing the extreme paleolibertarian 'tariffs on everybody works on paper, maybe a disaster in reality' to remove America from global trade markets, and return all industries back to America lunacy, slams 25% import tariffs on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China.
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S&P 500 closes at all times highs. Surges after slump, when Fed chairman Jerome Powell rules out rate cuts, rises on the back rising unemployment in the U.S. I can't see a recession or deflation until the oil price is under $50, stagflation is still on the cards.
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Self explanatory chart of the S&P 500 futures, from the last quarter. Market has priced out war and a sticky oil price and gone with CPI deflationary prints, Federal Reserve cutting/pausing rates and the surging tech sector high on an "AI" chip war revving up. Also to note, is the $8 Trillion, of Fed 'pandemic stimulus' that was to the banks, parked in cash and money market funds. *link in post*
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Tesla share price drops over 3%, as the U.S. car industry begins to set in an historic car strike. Musk shoots his mouth off. May send Tesla lower.
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Oil price stays fairly supported as the market prices in a .25% rate hike by the Fed. Energy and food inflation is beginning to creep up in 2023. Will the Fed pause?
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2022 'Explosive cyclogenesis' storm has hit America. Wheat futures have gone bid. Prices may spike if the storm and severe weather continues into January 2023
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Volatility, confusion and Chaos. Is inflation being mispriced on China deflation blips? With inflation gauges showing up as volatile, energy and Wheat/food prices are all heading back up again. Inflation and stagflation maybe becoming entrenched.
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