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Showing posts with the label markets

self explanatory chart/image: Oil crosses the $100 pb, stay bid over $103 (March 2026 highs). Trump threatens to attack Iran regardless of midterms, with conspiracy theory manipulation speak and the Republican convention in Dallas, Yemen houthis are clearing out Saudi Backed opposition forces, and have claimed Zuqar Island and are looking to capture Hanish Island, also disrupting the Yanbu terminal (Saudi arabia) Red Sea port.

Oil trades close to the $95 psychological resistance, as Trump orders strikes on Iranian oil tankers, Iran retaliates with a massive missile strike on Muwaffaq Salti airbase. U.S. forces churn through a massive amount of Patriot missiles, to defend the base.

self explanatory chart: Trump's yo/yo transational, attrition warfare has a timer on it. Just before U.S. midterms or after, will he begin bombing Iran again?

self explanatory chart: The transactional yo/yo of Trumpist on/off "threats" and "deals" on Iran. OIl price holds above the Trump $80 "put"

Trump flips the 'off switch 'again on Iran, deciding not to launch a massive "ww2" attack on Iranian "targets" . Oil collapses over 8%, YEN goes bid, USD sells, and Treasuries rally. Is his trading desk with his thermonuclear red button, lit up readying for midterms in November?

Trump is bombing Iran again, after the reload pause. Is the $80 oil per barrel price his put"?

self explanatory chart: Oil goes super bid cracks the $86 resistance, as Trump threatens Iran with a bridge and powerplant a day to blow up, ala targeting civilian infrastructure in Iran. Precursor for a 'lite' invasion is probably on the cards.

Oil is bid over $85 as Trump, who tore up the ceasefire and MoU in mid July, orders the USAF its11th consecutive bombing campaign over Iran. TArgeting mostly civilian infrastructure.

self explanatory chart: oil jumps 9% on Trump' bombing of Iran again. The on/off Nixon esque madman theory is probably becoming reality for a President out of control, with no real strategy, sans an end year prize re: Iran. Will he order an invasion of an Iranian Island?

self explanatory chart. WTI surges over 7% on Trump's bombing of Iran (again), which is less of a warning, but more of a rekindled attack on the nation. This time, Israel has not been invited, appeasing both his eveganical and nationalist camps, thus capping Iran's counter attack response to Israel, and keeping Trump's far right crazies at bay, and their 'Israel controls America' bullshit. Will Trump set up a Iranian island invasion as a prize before his midterm votes?

self explanatory chart: No peace/peace deal and/or "memorandum of understanding" to reopen the Straits of Hormuz from a conflict on Iran that didn't go according to plan/no plan or strategy by an unstable American president and israeli prime minister.

Oil futures break the $100 psychological barrier, as Trump rejects Iran's peace deal to end the siege on the Straits of Hormuz, and the war. Is a Kharg island invasion on the cards?

self explanatory chart: Oil goes bid, mirroring the midpoint of the Iran war, when Iran began targeting Gulf State U.S. bases. Trump orders "Project Freedom" which is a possible smoke screen to invade Kharg Island steal the oil and, then steal the Uranium. Messy. With six month avg oil price at $94, the global economy could splutter out with inflation.

self explanatory chart: Oil is bid over $100, as Trump's military build up continues, with masses of military equipment being flown into the Gulf. Will American/Israel strike Iran on the 1st May (Mayday)?

Self explanatory chart: TRump reiterates in his "Mad Man" Nixon-esque 'logic' (?) that he'll bomb Iran back to the Stone Ages. OIl jumps over 5%. April 6th deadline looms where he will attempt to turn off (bomb) Iran's electricity, water and amenities. Essentially a war crime of mass proportion, Iran will attack desalination/energy plants in the Middle East.

OIl remains bid over $102. after Trump has jawboned once again, claiming that he ready to leave the Strait of Hormuz closed (?), and end the war with objectives in tact (?). Nixon "madman theory" and oddball confusion at best. Oil futures drop 0.50%. Bonus chart is the DXY and 10 yr yield, hammering US consumers with higher interest/mortgage rates, and and businesses higher costs to operate. Additional quotes , Trump nonsense.

Oil jumps over 1% on Yemen Houthis joining the conflict, could shut down Red Sea shipping which ships 10% of global oil, mixed with the Strait of Hormuz 20% = 30%. Oil may hit $170, which would lead to a systemic crash of global economies..

self explanatory chart: Will Trump and Israel bomb Iran's electrical grid? Essentially an attempt to destroy the whole country, if Iran does not surrender. Oil will go parabolic

Oil is bid over $98, as Israel begins bombing Iran's energy grid, with a possible US/Gulf State land invasion of Iran looming. Iran threatens all of the Gulf States refineries.

self explanatory chart: Oil tops $100 as Trump bombs Kharg Island, Iran's oil distribution hub. America and Israel still appear to have no real strategy other than constant bombardment of Iranian cities.