Posts

Showing posts with the label stocks
Show all
Image

Stock markets are surging on the back of China's 'nth time' stimulus package, as large as the 2020 pandemic money dump. Pointing towards stimulus programs in the West about to rev up, starting with central banks cutting rates. All this with core inflation still stuck.

Post a Comment
Image

August PMI points towards a U.S. slowdown, as the Fed readies for a 25% rate cut in September 18th 2024. NASDAQ plunges over 3%, but still above its month-on-month lows. Overall consumer prices remain sticky. No U.S. recession just yet.

Post a Comment
Image

NASDAQ falls 5.76% over two days, although this is not at a crash, be wary. Speculation in the tech sector is rampant, and has been holding up global indices with expectations of a crypto/AI dominance. Further unwinding could be on the cards, noting that the headwinds for the global economy are numerous in consecutive beatdowns.

Post a Comment
Image

nASDAQ collapses over 2%, on weaker ISM PMI readings from Chinese and U.S. economic gauges. Crude sells off, but holds below $77 on any retaliatory strike by Iran on Israel.

Post a Comment
Image

NASDAQ pludges over 2% on a messy profit take (again) after Trump's comment that he will tax Taiwan for military assistance, also note Biden's trade restrictions on Chinese chips to the U.S. . Stocks are looking like a reflation/inflation trade, while the DOW is holding gains as growth stocks are selling off.

Post a Comment
Image

the nasdaq is flirting with risk aversion and is grossly mispricing widespread global calamity. Sticky inflation could easily turn into stagflation. Any attack on ISrael by Iran could drive the oil price up over $100 and push short term yields over 7%. Eyes on Crypto/Bitcoin on any major sell offs and speculation crashing in tandem.

Post a Comment
Image

NASDAQ begins to move towards it support of 17878, as the 10 YR Yield surges to 4.3% on the Federal Reserve pushing back rate cuts in 2024. Is the market heading for a whopping correction?

Post a Comment
Image

Bitcoin is so overbought, it is almost beyond words. Almost...

Post a Comment
Image

Self explanatory chart/s: Bitcoin (BTC) passes through its 60K price resistance on the back of Black Rock (Fund manager) 'BITCOIN ETF' flooding the Crypto ETF markets at $3.3 Billion. TEch firms and Silicon Valley Heavy weights jump on board. BTC is at a two year high, closing in on 64K.

Post a Comment
Image

Self explanatory chart/s: Are we amidst a tech sector bubble lead by AI mania? 1st chart via Kamadar, showing Tech companies are trying to close in on the $2 Trillion market cap. 2nd Chart the NASDAQ 100 via my analysis, showing the rise of the Tech sector after the SVB bailout in March 2023

Post a Comment
Image

Self Explantory chart: Indexes rise, with the S&P now clearing its 5000 resistance, trading above 5K. Retail spending collapses to 0.8% in January 2024 following the sharp decline in December 2023 at 0.5%. Are the majority of working Americas tightening pursestrings or cannot compete with rising prices? Market is transfixed on rate cuts in MAy 2024. Reiterate, not with the oil price bid over 75. Can we avoid stagflation in 2024?

Post a Comment
Image

CPI blows out at 3.1% with expectations for a 2.9% print. Stock markets drop 1%. USD dollar and oil are bid.

Post a Comment
Image

Oil closes in on $77pB, resistance at $78. Market is pricing in a below 3% inflation report hence the Fed will start cutting rates in May 2024. Cheap credit and hope overflows, as stocks are now in bubble territory. Cyclical is leading Growth in a inflation stuck economy. The market is trying to ignore and price out a broader conflict in the Middle East. Double sided U.S. diplomacy only bought some time. Be aware, the "Ides of March" loom.

Post a Comment
Image

S&P 500 Bull run since December 2023, with the NASDAQ 100, oil price and U.S. Dollar. Is this a reflation trade on rate cuts or a speculation trade? S&P 500 pierces through the psychological 5000. 1st time in history.

Post a Comment
Image

Tesla share price could test January 2023 lows of $108, one of the most underperforming stocks on the NASDAQ. Vulnerable, if the NASDAQ begins to correct. Damning report by WSJ doesn't help either. Link in post.

Post a Comment
Image

S&P 500 closes at all times highs. Surges after slump, when Fed chairman Jerome Powell rules out rate cuts, rises on the back rising unemployment in the U.S. I can't see a recession or deflation until the oil price is under $50, stagflation is still on the cards.

Post a Comment
Image

Self explanatory chart of the S&P 500 futures, from the last quarter. Market has priced out war and a sticky oil price and gone with CPI deflationary prints, Federal Reserve cutting/pausing rates and the surging tech sector high on an "AI" chip war revving up. Also to note, is the $8 Trillion, of Fed 'pandemic stimulus' that was to the banks, parked in cash and money market funds. *link in post*

Post a Comment
Image

self explanatory chart: Orderly sell off or crash? Refer, NASDAQ bull run since December 2023.

Post a Comment
Image

U.S. Dollar begins to rise on sticky inflation, a wider middle east conflict, Donald Trump possibly being re-elected as America's president in November 2024. All stock market negative. Stocks bull run for the tailend of 2023 may have come to an end.

Post a Comment
Image

The oil price remains bid over $75, OPEC cuts and broader Middle Eastern war may push the price to $80. MArkets are overstretching expectations that rates will be cut in 2024 on a China/U.S. slowdown. Not with unemployment rates at all time lows and higher energy prices. Coffee futures are bid, Brazil is suffering from the worst drought in history. Climate Change should be priced into markets.

Post a Comment