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Showing posts with the label 10yr bond

Former U.S. president Donald Trump was shot Sunday while delivering a campaign speech. Trump economic policies are protectionist driven, as the U.S. economy is already within stagflation 'lite', note PPI release for June showing that prices are accelerating. A trump victory in November would add to already embedded inflation. Short end yields and the USD rise on the uncertainty of Trump's reaction after the shooting.

U.S. Consumer price index (CPI) blows out in August 2023 to 3.7% from 3.6%, prior month. 10 YR yield resistance is at 4.3%, which is at 2023 highs. The bond market is screaming for a rate hike from the Fed, as inflation has deeply imbedded itself into the American economy. NASDAQ bids are causing blindsided greed. Stock market has lost touch with reality.

NADAQ futures sell off -2% on rising 10 YR bond yields. Inflation is still among us, Central Banks deliver Hawkish rhetoric. Nvidia gets knocked off its perch.

U.S. PCE RISES IN APRIL to 4.8%. RATES SHOULD BE ABOVE 6% BY NOW. THE 10 YR YIELD IS TELLING OF THE INDICIVENESS OF THE Federal Reserve.

S&P 500 futures are looking stretched. The U.S. government most likely will not default on its debt, yet confidence in the market is being tested. Liquidity is not as tight as it could be.

IS something big about to hit the markets? Oil crashes 5%, yields and the U.s. Doller sell off. Gold the doomsday hedge remains bid since March 2022.

A self explanatory Chart. The VIX (S&P volatility), with the 2 YR and 10 YR bond yields overlaid. Comparing the selling pressure of the s&P 500 since 2020 and all the negative news to date. Are we heading towards a stock market crash?

Musk's brutal acquisition of Twitter is showing up in Tesla. Could be evident that Twitter is leaking rapidly with loss of revenue. 50% of the workforce has been cut that also could be a wider trend of the tech sector begging mass layoffs. This is essentially a stagflation primer as inflation imbeds and unemployment grows.

The 10 YR BOND (U.S.) and 10 YR GILT (U.K.) reach 16 year highs. U.K. financial crisis is heating up dragging U.S. yields.

NASDAQ March/April/May 2022 bear market and its correlation with the oil price/10 YR yield.