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Showing posts with the label oil shock

Oil futures break the $100 psychological barrier, as Trump rejects Iran's peace deal to end the siege on the Straits of Hormuz, and the war. Is a Kharg island invasion on the cards?

self explanatory chart: Oil goes bid, mirroring the midpoint of the Iran war, when Iran began targeting Gulf State U.S. bases. Trump orders "Project Freedom" which is a possible smoke screen to invade Kharg Island steal the oil and, then steal the Uranium. Messy. With six month avg oil price at $94, the global economy could splutter out with inflation.

self explanatory chart: Oil is bid over $100, as Trump's military build up continues, with masses of military equipment being flown into the Gulf. Will American/Israel strike Iran on the 1st May (Mayday)?

Self explanatory chart: TRump reiterates in his "Mad Man" Nixon-esque 'logic' (?) that he'll bomb Iran back to the Stone Ages. OIl jumps over 5%. April 6th deadline looms where he will attempt to turn off (bomb) Iran's electricity, water and amenities. Essentially a war crime of mass proportion, Iran will attack desalination/energy plants in the Middle East.

OIl remains bid over $102. after Trump has jawboned once again, claiming that he ready to leave the Strait of Hormuz closed (?), and end the war with objectives in tact (?). Nixon "madman theory" and oddball confusion at best. Oil futures drop 0.50%. Bonus chart is the DXY and 10 yr yield, hammering US consumers with higher interest/mortgage rates, and and businesses higher costs to operate. Additional quotes , Trump nonsense.

Oil jumps over 1% on Yemen Houthis joining the conflict, could shut down Red Sea shipping which ships 10% of global oil, mixed with the Strait of Hormuz 20% = 30%. Oil may hit $170, which would lead to a systemic crash of global economies..

self explanatory chart: Will Trump and Israel bomb Iran's electrical grid? Essentially an attempt to destroy the whole country, if Iran does not surrender. Oil will go parabolic

Oil is bid over $98, as Israel begins bombing Iran's energy grid, with a possible US/Gulf State land invasion of Iran looming. Iran threatens all of the Gulf States refineries.

self explanatory chart: Oil tops $100 as Trump bombs Kharg Island, Iran's oil distribution hub. America and Israel still appear to have no real strategy other than constant bombardment of Iranian cities.

Oil is bid over $90, as Iran attacks merchant shipping along the Straits of Hormuz, both Trump and Israel, with no strategic plan on how to end the war with Iran, apart from their 'superior firepower, solves everything' delusion, may need to land invade Iran.

Oil collapses 6%, as Trump claims that the war with Iran is "nearly over". Also says that he, the U.S., will take over the Straits of Hormuz, yet unsure when Iran will "surrender". Oil stays bid over $80

2026 oil shock is coming. Oil tops $115 a barrel, as the Joint Maritime information center, (international navy advisory board) says the straits of hormuz, is effectively "shut". America and Israel may invade Iran soon, with Israel amassing Troops on the Lebanese border.

Is china heading towards a deep recession? Oil slumps over 2% despite geopolitical re: Isreal, Iran. An Isreali strike on Iran's energy infrastructure could lead to an oil shock.

A prolonged oil shock could be on the way, ala the 1970s. Iran could blockade and/or attack ships passing through the Straits of Hormuz in retaliation to Israeli missile strikes. Stagflation fears could return with gusto in 2024