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Showing posts with the label markets
self explanatory chart: The transactional yo/yo of Trumpist on/off "threats" and "deals" on Iran. OIl price holds above the Trump $80 "put"
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Trump flips the 'off switch 'again on Iran, deciding not to launch a massive "ww2" attack on Iranian "targets" . Oil collapses over 8%, YEN goes bid, USD sells, and Treasuries rally. Is his trading desk with his thermonuclear red button, lit up readying for midterms in November?
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Trump is bombing Iran again, after the reload pause. Is the $80 oil per barrel price his put"?
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self explanatory chart: Oil goes super bid cracks the $86 resistance, as Trump threatens Iran with a bridge and powerplant a day to blow up, ala targeting civilian infrastructure in Iran. Precursor for a 'lite' invasion is probably on the cards.
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self explanatory chart: oil jumps 9% on Trump' bombing of Iran again. The on/off Nixon esque madman theory is probably becoming reality for a President out of control, with no real strategy, sans an end year prize re: Iran. Will he order an invasion of an Iranian Island?
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self explanatory chart. WTI surges over 7% on Trump's bombing of Iran (again), which is less of a warning, but more of a rekindled attack on the nation. This time, Israel has not been invited, appeasing both his eveganical and nationalist camps, thus capping Iran's counter attack response to Israel, and keeping Trump's far right crazies at bay, and their 'Israel controls America' bullshit. Will Trump set up a Iranian island invasion as a prize before his midterm votes?
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self explanatory chart: No peace/peace deal and/or "memorandum of understanding" to reopen the Straits of Hormuz from a conflict on Iran that didn't go according to plan/no plan or strategy by an unstable American president and israeli prime minister.
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self explanatory chart: Oil goes bid, mirroring the midpoint of the Iran war, when Iran began targeting Gulf State U.S. bases. Trump orders "Project Freedom" which is a possible smoke screen to invade Kharg Island steal the oil and, then steal the Uranium. Messy. With six month avg oil price at $94, the global economy could splutter out with inflation.
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Self explanatory chart: TRump reiterates in his "Mad Man" Nixon-esque 'logic' (?) that he'll bomb Iran back to the Stone Ages. OIl jumps over 5%. April 6th deadline looms where he will attempt to turn off (bomb) Iran's electricity, water and amenities. Essentially a war crime of mass proportion, Iran will attack desalination/energy plants in the Middle East.
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OIl remains bid over $102. after Trump has jawboned once again, claiming that he ready to leave the Strait of Hormuz closed (?), and end the war with objectives in tact (?). Nixon "madman theory" and oddball confusion at best. Oil futures drop 0.50%. Bonus chart is the DXY and 10 yr yield, hammering US consumers with higher interest/mortgage rates, and and businesses higher costs to operate. Additional quotes , Trump nonsense.
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Oil jumps over 1% on Yemen Houthis joining the conflict, could shut down Red Sea shipping which ships 10% of global oil, mixed with the Strait of Hormuz 20% = 30%. Oil may hit $170, which would lead to a systemic crash of global economies..
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self explanatory chart: Will Trump and Israel bomb Iran's electrical grid? Essentially an attempt to destroy the whole country, if Iran does not surrender. Oil will go parabolic
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Oil is bid over $98, as Israel begins bombing Iran's energy grid, with a possible US/Gulf State land invasion of Iran looming. Iran threatens all of the Gulf States refineries.
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Oil is bid over $90, as Iran attacks merchant shipping along the Straits of Hormuz, both Trump and Israel, with no strategic plan on how to end the war with Iran, apart from their 'superior firepower, solves everything' delusion, may need to land invade Iran.
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2026 oil shock is coming. Oil tops $115 a barrel, as the Joint Maritime information center, (international navy advisory board) says the straits of hormuz, is effectively "shut". America and Israel may invade Iran soon, with Israel amassing Troops on the Lebanese border.
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