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CPI is not in line with the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) and rising import prices. Oil is now bid at $88 as it was in Jan 2022. Markets are over stepping expectations that Central Banks are slowing down rate increases.
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USD bid as the Chinese property sector readies for a total collapse. Yuan bonds are being dumped as millions of Chinese begin to save. Bonus chart: Argentina Peso crashes as a mini "Trump" and right wing extremist may become their next President.
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Inflation and the Finite endgame: “Oil Inflation. Russia’s strategic power play” (A.Glass May 11, 2021)
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Gold, the Doomsday Hedge, has been activated. Bids now above support of $1840 with U.S Dollar selling and Swiss Franc (safe haven/s) buying: in tandem with gold hedges. Is a major conflict on the cards? China may be planning to invade Taiwan, Russia had blockaded all of South East Ukraine sea ports. Global food crisis and possible West (UK?) showdown (Navel).
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from the markets Chiasmus archive: November 10th, 2022 "CONSUMER PRICE INDEX COMES IN WAY LOWER THAT THE 8% EXPECTATIONS. WAY TOO LOW AT 7.7% WHICH IS AKIN TO A COLLAPSE IN INFLATION, THIS WILL EVOKE THE CONTROVERSY OF THE CPI TO BE FLAWED IN ACCURACY. MARKET JUICED UP ON THE NEWS, SHORT COVERING AND 6% RALLY VIA THE S&P 500. OIL REMAINS BID OVER $85."
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The Federal Reserve is very close to throwing in the towel (again), as it has done a minimal job in reigning in inflation. Its balance sheet remains at 8 Trillion. U.S. Dollar selling could turn into capitulation if all Central Banks begin one by one throwing in the towel. IS the hope on for a milder Northern Hemisphere winter re: peak inflation?
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Credit Suisse is about to be be bailed out (again) by the Swiss National Bank. Oil has decoupled from gold as a possible risk hedge, on plunging yields and U.S. Dollar. Will Central Banks begin asset buying programs and start their money printing once again? Inflation is still elevated at 6% with full employment. This is not like 2008.
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Consumer Price Index comes in way lower that the 8% expectations. Way too low at 7.7% which is akin to a collapse in inflation, this will evoke the controversy of the CPI to be flawed in accuracy. Market juiced up on the news, short covering and 6% rally via the S&p 500. oil remains bid over $85.
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